Issue 1128 September 2026 · Coverage: 21–28 September 2026 | Prepared independently by SICI
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Opening note

Hello from Antalya.

For several months now, COP31Radar has been following the road to COP31 from Antalya. With six weeks to go before the summit, that work is entering its most intensive period.

COP31Radar is an independent initiative by SICI — Social Institute of Change and Impact. We follow the COP31 process from the host city, publish practical intelligence and independent research, and work directly with organisations preparing for Antalya.

If your organisation is preparing for COP31, SICI works on participation strategy, delegation preparation, side events and meetings, visibility, credibility review and practical planning in Antalya.

This week also marks two milestones for COP31Radar: our WhatsApp channel has passed 3,500 followers, and we are publishing The Cost of COP31: Antalya Access & Affordability Monitor, new SICI research on what it costs to stay in Antalya during the summit period.

Executive brief

Overall picture

Decision brief

COP31’s implementation agenda became more concrete this week. The Presidency formalised its 35-by-35 electrification pledge and added six implementation initiatives covering areas including grids, buildings, freight, industry and finance. The International Energy Agency also published new analysis requested in the COP31 context, giving the electrification agenda a stronger technical reference point.

Finance also moved closer to country and project level. Ethiopia, Fiji, Indonesia, Pakistan and Uzbekistan were named as the first BRIDGE pilot countries; a new Sustainable Urban Resilience Financing Facility was launched for cities; and the UN launched a Global Grids Accelerator initially focused on Africa and South-East Asia.

The political context widened as well. The UN Climate Summit in New York brought governments, business, finance and civil society together around faster climate action and a just transition, while a regional workshop in İzmir worked on food, water and climate priorities, investment opportunities and practical examples to carry into COP31.

But new mechanisms are not the same as delivered finance. African leaders used meetings in New York to stress adaptation finance, loss and damage, technology access, debt and just transition, while Nepal’s current loss-and-damage case reinforced the argument that the terms of climate finance can matter as much as headline volumes.

For organisations preparing for COP31, the important question is what happens after the announcements: whether funding is available, who can access it and how progress will be measured.

From COP31Radar

Updates from Antalya

Community milestone

3,500 people are now following COP31Radar on WhatsApp

Our WhatsApp channel passed 3,500 followers this week.

We use the channel for short COP31 updates, deadlines, practical information and new COP31Radar publications between weekly issues. As the summit gets closer, it is becoming one of the main ways we share time-sensitive information from Antalya.

Follow on WhatsApp
New research

The Cost of COP31

This week, COP31Radar is publishing The Cost of COP31: Antalya Access & Affordability Monitor, new independent research by SICI on accommodation costs during the summit. The research will be available at cop31radar.com.

The analysis covers 208 bookable properties listed on the official COP31 accommodation platform for the full 9–20 November stay. It uses each property’s lowest displayed “Price From” rate to calculate an 11-night Starting Cost.

The headline figures show a substantial participation cost:

€2,381.72Median 11-night Starting Cost
13.5%28 of 208 properties at €1,000 or less
€3,300Median within 30 km
€1,666.50Median beyond 30 km

The pattern matters because accommodation is part of the wider access question. Lower-cost options are generally further from the venue, which makes transport reliability and daily mobility part of the real cost of participation — especially for smaller civil-society organisations, local groups and participants with limited budgets.

Research and analysis by SICI — Social Institute of Change and Impact. Published by COP31Radar.

Read the research on COP31Radar
COP31 Antalya editorial visual: Mechanisms are not delivery, with implementation, access, finance, adaptation and just transition themes.
Main signals to watch

Signals

Click signals to expand
01Electrification becomes a delivery test+
Electrification becomes a delivery test.

The 35% electrification target is not new. What changed this week is the machinery around it: a formal pledge, six implementation initiatives and a new IEA assessment of what faster electrification would require. Attention is now moving to the practical requirements: grid capacity, finance, technology, national policy and a credible way to measure progress.

02Finance moves toward project pipelines+
Finance moves toward project pipelines.

BRIDGE’s first five pilots, the new urban-resilience financing facility and the Global Grids Accelerator all focus on moving climate priorities closer to investable projects. They can improve project preparation and organise demand for finance. Whether affordable capital reaches those projects and communities remains unresolved.

03Equity pressure is sharpening+
Equity pressure is sharpening.

The week also sharpened questions about who can afford the transition. African leaders highlighted adaptation finance, loss and damage, technology access and debt. Nepal argued for grant-based recovery support, while Türkiye’s Presidency-level messaging stressed unequal access to finance and technology. These are separate political positions, but each points to the cost and accessibility of climate action.

This week’s briefing

From Pledges to Project Pipelines

01What 35-by-35 Will Require
Briefing 01

What 35-by-35 Will Require

COP31’s 35-by-35 electrification agenda became more specific this week. The target itself predates the current coverage period, but the Presidency has now formalised the pledge and attached six implementation initiatives to it. The IEA also published new analysis examining how rapidly electrification could scale.
Click to expand briefing

Electrification here means replacing direct fossil-fuel use with electricity in areas such as transport, buildings and parts of industry, while also expanding electricity access and clean-power supply. That sounds straightforward at headline level. In practice, it depends on grids, generation capacity, storage, finance, regulatory systems and the ability of governments and utilities to manage fast-rising electricity demand.

The IEA analysis gives the Presidency’s flagship agenda more technical substance. It also makes the limits more visible. Electrification targets cannot be assessed only by the percentage of final energy use that becomes electric. The source of that electricity, the cost of grid expansion, the distribution of investment and the affordability of access all affect whether the transition delivers climate and development gains.

For organisations preparing for COP31, the practical task is to identify where they fit: grids, finance, buildings, freight, industry, access or accountability.

02Finance Moves From Concepts to Pilots
Briefing 02

Finance Moves From Concepts to Pilots

Three developments this week made the implementation-finance agenda more tangible: the first five BRIDGE pilot countries were named, SURFF was launched for urban resilience, and the Global Grids Accelerator was introduced to help move grid priorities toward investable projects.
Click to expand briefing

BRIDGE is not a new initiative this week. The genuinely new element is the announcement of Ethiopia, Fiji, Indonesia, Pakistan and Uzbekistan as the first pilot countries. The stated logic is to help translate climate priorities into finance-ready portfolios and identify implementation bottlenecks. SURFF applies a similar logic to cities by combining country-level platforms, institutional support and dialogue around urban resilience. The Global Grids Accelerator adds another layer by focusing on the infrastructure needed for clean-energy expansion.

These initiatives bring project preparation, institutional capacity and investment readiness further into the climate-finance discussion.

Project preparation can make financing easier, but it cannot guarantee affordable capital, acceptable risk allocation or equitable local outcomes. Those gaps will remain central at COP31.

03Adaptation Finance Meets the Debt Question
Briefing 03

Adaptation Finance Meets the Debt Question

The finance discussion is also becoming more political. African leaders meeting through CAHOSCC advanced priorities around accessible adaptation finance, loss and damage, technology and capacity, just transition and the interaction between climate finance and existing debt pressures.
Click to expand briefing

The distinction between the amount of finance and the quality of finance is becoming harder to ignore. Loans can expand available capital, but for countries already facing high debt burdens or repeated climate shocks, additional borrowing can deepen fiscal pressure. Grant finance, concessional finance — funding offered on more favourable terms than commercial lending — and easier access to climate funds therefore remain central questions.

Nepal’s current case sharpened that debate. New analysis by Carbon Brief compared the country’s loss-and-damage funding request with the scale of recent flood losses, while Nepal’s prime minister publicly called for grant-based rather than debt-based support. The underlying disaster predates this week, but the new analysis and diplomatic intervention are current.

There is no new negotiated COP31 finance agreement here. The developments do, however, put access, financing terms and the consequences for public debt more firmly on the agenda.

04The UN Climate Summit Raises the Political Bar
Briefing 04

The UN Climate Summit Raises the Political Bar

On 23 September, UN Secretary-General António Guterres convened the Climate Summit in New York, bringing together governments, business, finance and civil society around faster climate action and a just transition. The meeting placed clean-energy deployment, affordable climate finance, resilience and international cooperation within the same political frame ahead of COP31.
Click to expand briefing

Guterres also called for countries to develop credible, time-bound roadmaps for transitioning away from fossil fuels. For COP31, this links electrification and investment initiatives to a wider transition pathway with clear timelines.

The Summit period also produced additional implementation signals. New UN support mechanisms focused on critical energy-transition minerals and early-warning protection, while a methane dialogue highlighted practical action across oil and gas, waste and agriculture and showcased the Super Pollutant Country Action Accelerator, whose first seven countries are receiving implementation support.

The initiatives are at different stages and do not form a single COP31 package. They do, however, broaden the agenda around Antalya to include energy systems, finance, resilience, minerals, methane and institutional capacity.

05Food, Water and Climate Enter the COP31 Preparation Track
Briefing 05

Food, Water and Climate Enter the COP31 Preparation Track

A regional workshop in İzmir on 22–23 September brought together governments, UN agencies and technical experts to work on the water-food-climate nexus ahead of COP31.
Click to expand briefing

The workshop was designed around four practical outputs: shared regional policy messages, a preliminary pipeline of solutions and investment opportunities, examples that could inform COP31 discussions, and a roadmap for continued regional cooperation. Discussions focused on the interaction between food systems, water management and climate policy, the barriers countries face and the finance needed to advance promising approaches.

The İzmir process adds food security, water management, agriculture, resilience and regional cooperation to a week otherwise dominated by energy and finance. Participants were explicitly working on material intended to feed into discussions in Antalya.

For organisations working in agriculture, water, food systems or resilience, the workshop provides a clearer route into the pre-COP31 agenda and a set of regional priorities to follow as they move toward Antalya.

06What Will Count as Credible Action?
Briefing 06

What Will Count as Credible Action?

The week also brought more concrete criteria for judging climate claims.
Click to expand briefing

Civil-society organisations responding to 35-by-35 called for electrification to be linked to renewable power, energy access, finance, grids and storage, together with safeguards for communities and transition-mineral governance. These are stakeholder positions rather than negotiated UNFCCC outcomes, but they set out specific expectations for the pledge as it develops.

Technology and business face similar scrutiny. COP31 launched an Antalya AI pledge track and an initiative focused on AI-enabled clean technologies. Türkiye’s new Green Taxonomy Regulation established a formal framework covering environmental contribution, safeguards, reporting and anti-greenwashing objectives.

The evidence required will vary. Electrification claims depend on the source of power, access and infrastructure. AI-related climate claims need to account for expected gains as well as additional energy demand. Green investment claims depend on clear classification, reporting and verification.

As COP31 approaches, organisations making climate claims will need to show the evidence behind them.

Civil society

What NGOs should watch?

Opportunity

This week gives civil society more concrete material to scrutinise. Key questions include whether electrification expands renewable supply and energy access, who receives grid and resilience finance, whether communities are involved in project design and what safeguards apply to transition minerals. The 35-by-35 civil-society letter sets out a useful list of conditions to follow as the pledge develops.

Risk

BRIDGE, SURFF and new grid initiatives may improve project preparation, but they leave major questions open about financing terms, debt exposure, access and local influence. Access also has a practical cost dimension: COP31Radar’s new accommodation research shows that staying in Antalya during the summit can itself become a barrier for smaller civil-society organisations and participants working with limited budgets. Stakeholder statements can shape debate, but they should not be confused with negotiated outcomes. The most useful scrutiny will follow funding flows, participation rules and measurable results.

Prepare

NGOs and CSOs should map their positions against the emerging 35-by-35 implementation architecture, especially renewable electricity, grids, access, finance and transition-mineral safeguards. Organisations working on adaptation and loss and damage should update advocacy with evidence on grants, debt and the adequacy of current finance. Organisations working on food systems, water and resilience should also follow the outcomes of the İzmir process and identify where regional policy messages or project pipelines intersect with their work. Priority meetings, coalition roles and spokespeople should be identified before full Blue and Green Zone programmes appear, rather than relying on the final programme to determine the entire COP31 strategy.

Companies / institutions

What companies should watch?

Opportunity

COP31 is becoming easier to navigate for companies, investors, development institutions, cities and universities. Electrification, grid expansion, buildings, freight, urban resilience and project preparation offer specific areas where organisations can contribute. BRIDGE and SURFF also show growing demand for finance-ready projects and the capacity to prepare them.

Risk

Companies and institutions are also likely to face closer scrutiny over what their projects finance, whether electricity is genuinely low-carbon, how community and environmental safeguards are handled and whether public claims meet emerging regulatory standards.

Türkiye’s new Green Taxonomy framework gives that scrutiny a more concrete host-country reference point. Its environmental contribution criteria, safeguards, reporting requirements and anti-greenwashing objectives are directly relevant to companies presenting activities as sustainable or transition-aligned. Visibility without verifiable substance may therefore create more reputational risk than value.

Prepare

Institutions considering COP31 activity should be clear about the problem they can address, the partners required, financing needs, delivery timeline and expected results before making public claims. Organisations involved in sponsorships, side events or corporate partnerships should review how sustainability claims align with Türkiye’s taxonomy. Where projects depend on public or concessional capital, teams should distinguish clearly between a project concept, a finance-ready pipeline and funding that is actually committed.

Critical reading

This week produced more concrete tools for turning climate commitments into projects: technical analysis, pilot countries, project pipelines, urban-finance structures, grid initiatives and new policy frameworks.

The open questions are increasingly practical. Will finance reach projects on affordable terms? Will debt-constrained countries be able to use it? Can grids and other infrastructure expand quickly enough? Will affected communities have a meaningful role in project design?

These are also useful questions for civil society. New initiatives can be followed through funding decisions, participation rules, safeguards, financing terms and published results. This is where independent scrutiny can add the most value, particularly when public claims run ahead of evidence.

Companies, governments and international institutions face the same need for specificity. Facilities, pledges and pipelines should be assessed through what they fund, who carries the risk, who participates in decisions and what results can be demonstrated.

COP31 now has more institutions and projects attached to its implementation agenda. The coming weeks will show how much of that structure is backed by finance, access and measurable outcomes.

COP31 basics and planning

Find the route

This week’s planning note

UNFCCC published a COP31 Visa Arrangements FAQ and an Overview Schedule on 25 September. These give delegations a firmer basis for travel and high-level planning, but detailed Blue and Green Zone programmes were still unpublished at the research cutoff.

Travel planning is also becoming a cost question. COP31Radar’s new accommodation research finds a median 11-night Starting Cost of €2,381.72 across 208 bookable properties on the official accommodation platform, with substantially higher median costs within 30 km of the venue. Complete visa, accreditation, accommodation and travel checks now, while keeping programme and meeting plans flexible.

Sources

Used in this issue

  1. COP31 Presidency — COP31 Presidency launches 35-by-35 Pledge and Antalya AI Pledge in New York
  2. International Energy Agency — Electrification
  3. COP31 Presidency — COP31 Presidency elevates finance and city action in implementation-focused agenda
  4. UNIDO — UN Secretary-General launches Global Grids Accelerator
  5. African Union — President of Kenya convened the Committee to advance Africa’s common position ahead of COP31
  6. Carbon Brief — Analysis: Nepal’s $20m ‘loss-and-damage’ claim only covers 0.7% of flood costs
  7. Amnesty International — Electrification done right: civil society conditions for the “35 by 35” target
  8. Türkiye Resmî Gazete — Türkiye Yeşil Taksonomisi Yönetmeliği
  9. UNFCCC — COP31 Visa Arrangements FAQ / COP31 Overview Schedule
  10. United Nations — Climate Summit 2026
  11. FAO — Countries gathered in İzmir to shape food, water and climate priorities ahead of COP31
  12. UNEP — Spotlight on climate action: From methane pledges to action on the ground

Have a COP31 preparation question?

SICI supports organisations working through practical COP31 decisions: participation, delegation planning, visibility, side-event strategy, credibility review, Antalya preparation, local engagement and next steps. If you are deciding where your organisation should focus — or whether a proposed COP31 activity is worth the time and resources — send us the question you are working through.